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Tuesday and Wednesday, the first draws! Supercompetus has calculated the chances of qualifying in groups

Article by Sergiu Alexandru – published on Sunday, June 15, 2025, 14:33 / Updated Sunday, June 15, 2025 14:33

FCSB, CFR Cluj, Craiova University and U Cluj are the four Romanian teams that will start in the European Cups. After the simulations of a supercomputer, the champion has the highest chances to reach a group. Dan Petrescu's band needs luck at the firings, but she is also rated with important chances, while for the Oltenians and the students of Săbău the chances are extremely small.

  • Sorting for Tour 1 in the UEFA Champions League, Europa League and Conference League takes place on June 17
  • Sorting for Tour 2 of the UEFA Champions League, Europa League and Conference League takes place on June 18

There will be 237 teams starting in the middle of July will start in the UEFA Champions League, Europa League and Conference League. Of these, four will be from Romania.

  • FCSB – Tour 1 of the UEFA Champions League preliminaries
  • CFR Cluj – Tour 1 of the Europa League preliminaries
  • Craiova University – Tour 2 of the Preliminaries Conference League
  • U Cluj – Tour 2 of the preliminaries Conference League

A supercomputer simulated how the preliminaries will take and calculated the probability that the participating teams will reach in one of the groups. Some are already qualified in a group, others have more complicated or less complicated routes, depending on the coefficient.

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FCSB, 97% sure to play in a European group

FCSB starts, as last year, in UCL preliminaries. In the first two tours will be the series head, so most likely will have accessible opponents. The situation is complicated in round 3, where it will come over a loud name, and the specialists do not see it passing. However, he has very high chances of playing in a European group.

According to calculations, the probability that the red-blue team will be in a European group is 97%. The percentage is divided between the three competitions. Statistics believe that the highest chances are for FCSB to play in the Europa League group (52%). The probability that the champion band is in UCL is 23%, as in the lecture league.

  • It should be noted: FCSB has low chances of reaching Conference League because she is seen as a favorite to reach the Europa League, where in round 3 and play-off is a series.

Here the detailed route that FCSB will have in European Cups

CFR Cluj can hope for lecture

CFR Cluj begins the European cups in the 1st of the Europa League, where it will be a series. Then, the people of Cluj will be in the second ballot box in round 2, and the situation is complicated. From the supercomputer calculations, CFR Cluj has a 47% probability to be in a group. Most likely (37%) that group will be in the caprience league, the Cluj to be a series head in round 3 and play-off.

Almost impossible for Craiova University and U Cluj

Craiova and U Cluj University fall into the second round of Conference League. The Oltenians will be the series head only at the first draw, the Transylvanians will be in the second ballot box.

According to the calculations, Rădoi's team has a probability of only 17% to reach the group. In time the chances of Cluj are even lower, 9%.

Ashley Davis

I’m Ashley Davis as an editor, I’m committed to upholding the highest standards of integrity and accuracy in every piece we publish. My work is driven by curiosity, a passion for truth, and a belief that journalism plays a crucial role in shaping public discourse. I strive to tell stories that not only inform but also inspire action and conversation.

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