Economic consensus, condition for governance. Why the future executive will be one of compromise

The situation of Romania regarding the need for an urgent regulation of the economy and obtaining a parliamentary majority that will ensure the support in the Parliament brings a unique formula to the government mass, an executive consisting of four parties. President Nicușor Dan tries to obtain the consensus of political formations on the economic plan before establishing the composition of the executive, in an attempt to prevent further blockages. However, analysts warn that the future government will be a compromise, with little chance of bringing real reforms.

The Executive Future could be driven by Liberal Ilie Bolojan Photo Mediafax

The negotiations for the formation of the new government propose a construction of four parties: PSD, PNL, USR and UDMR, a construction of political formations that are ideologically opposite, which, as the experience in recent years shows, has every chance to break down.

The current negotiations are mainly focused on the economic measures that the executive future must take.

“It will not be quickly, obviously a new government. It will not be extraordinarily fast, because discussions will appear between the parties. That is why Nicușor Dan has addressed another strategy for the training of the Government and did not start with the negotiations regarding the person of the prime minister and what party will give it, but started with the program of urgent measures to reduce the budget deficit. Government has somehow put things in the logical order.explains the editor-in-chief of History Ion M. Ioniță.

The analyst also points out that given the complicated construction, expectations should not be high, especially since “It will be difficult to know USR and PSD in one place. “

“Let us not be illusions that it will be a very reformist government. The government that will be, will have the main task to take the set of minimal measures to reduce the budget deficit. This will be the task of the new government. To present a credible measures plan, so that Romania can obtain from the European Commission an extension, that is, not to enter into Romania, Resonable.

Politicologist Radu Carp points out that “It is very possible that the protocol will work, but the alchemy of the power may be very, very different at a time“, So that in the problem of the budget deficit, the one that motivates the current government formula discussed must be well established.

“It is a unique formula so far. The four parties have collaborated, but they have not been at the same table, so to speak, in the exercise of the Government. issue that can wait.stresses Radu Carp.

New government with old faces

The current discussions are difficult, not being approved neither the form of the executive future, with PSD or without PSD, which would lead to the construction of a minority government, nor the management, with a technocrat prime minister, with the version of the rotary or only with Ilie Bolojan.

In order to give in the position of prime minister, the PSD asks for a post of deputy prime minister in the Government. In the case of ministries, some heads of portfolios will go home. At the same time, although President Nicușor Dan warned over the need for new people at the forefront of the ministries, but from the beginning of the discussions, the current negotiations only change the place in the case of characters from the old executive. For example, Deputy Prime Minister Marian Neacșu could take over the management of the Ministry of Transport.

Among those who could maintain their functions are the current Minister of Agriculture – Florin Barbu, Minister of Economy and Digitization – Bogdan Ivan, Minister of Energy – Sebastian Burduja, Minister of European Projects and Investments – Marcel Boloș, Minister of Education – Daniel David, Minister of Finance – Tanczos Barna Cătălin Predoiu.

In this context the editor-in-chief of Historia, Ion M. Ioniță warns that the necessary adjustment regarding the budget deficit cannot come with people from the old government construction: “With the same people who have created the budget deficit, you now want to take reform measures? No, it has no, they are not credible. And to insist with the same ministers practically means that you do not understand anything that happened.

Previous failures

In the past, both USR and UDMR came out of government leaving PNL. The same thing repeated and PSD after the last elections this year. However, the Social Democrats withdrew only formally, the ministers remaining in office.

The PNL-USRPLUS-UDMR coalition broke in 2021, when USR, then USRPLUS, resigned in the context of dismissing its ministers by former Liberal Prime Minister Florin Cîțu. The formula was followed by the entry of the PSD to the government in the same year. However, the PSD-PNL-UDMR coalition turned into PSD-PNL in 2023, with the government rotary. Then the UDMR left in the context of close negotiations with the Liberals, who left the Union with only two ministries.

The last break from the tip of the Executive did not really occur after the presidential elections of 2025, in which PSD and PNL came with a common candidate. The signals appeared much earlier, even in the campaign of the presidential elections organized in 2024, with the candidates of the former party chiefs Nicolae Ciucă and Marcel Ciolacu.