2026-03-15 20:20
publication
2026-03-15 20:20
Poultry purchase prices in Poland may fall to PLN 5.40/kg at the end of 2026 and approximately PLN 5.10/kg at the end of 2027 from PLN 5.68/kg recorded in January this year – forecast analysts from Credit Agricole Bank Polska. The price decline is supported by the improved supply situation and the recovery of production after bird diseases.
Analysts indicate that production in the EU is recovering after previous losses caused by bird diseases, including: bird flu.
An additional factor contributing to the decline is the high – compared to historical background – profitability of poultry production, which encourages producers to increase supply.
In 2025, the value of Polish poultry exports – including meat, processed products and live poultry – increased by 18.2%. year to year compared to an increase of 11.6%. in 2024. This increase was mainly due to higher prices obtained by exporters, with a slightly lower sales volume.
The purchase price of poultry in January 2026 was PLN 5.68/kg and was 2.3% higher. higher than a year earlier. At the same time, poultry feed prices dropped by 8.3%. up to PLN 1.53/kg.
As a result, the livestock/feed price ratio increased to 3.72 compared to 3.33 a year earlier, which – according to analysts – indicates a clear improvement in the profitability of poultry production.
The analysis also indicated that supply constraints resulting from animal diseases contribute to the persistence of high egg purchase prices. Particularly strong restrictions apply to the segment of eggs from cage-free systems.
This phenomenon is related to the growing number of declarations submitted by companies from the food and commercial sectors regarding the abandonment of the sale of cage eggs. In Poland, however, the transformation of the sector is progressing slower than in many EU countries.
According to analysts, this is due to, among others, from the large share of production directed to processing, where commitments to abandon cage farming are less frequent, as well as from the relatively low price premium for production in systems that improve animal welfare in the conditions of high egg prices.
However, in the coming months, the supply of eggs on the EU market is expected to gradually recover, which may contribute to a decline in purchase prices.
In 2025, the value of Polish egg exports increased by 25%. year on year, after a decline of 2.2%. in 2024. The increase was the result of higher prices obtained by exporters with a simultaneous decline in sales volume.
The purchase price of class M eggs in January 2026 was PLN 66.66 per 100 pieces and was 16.4% higher than in January 2026. higher than a year earlier. At the same time, feed prices for laying hens dropped by 7.6%. up to PLN 1.35/kg.
As a result, the price ratio of 100 eggs to the price of feed increased to 49.41 compared to 39.19 a year earlier, indicating a very strong improvement in the profitability of egg production.
According to analysts, the purchase price of class M eggs may be approximately PLN 68 per 100 pieces at the end of 2026 and approximately PLN 63 per 100 pieces at the end of 2027.
The main risk factors for poultry and egg price forecasts include the epizootic situation (all data on the occurrence and spread of infectious diseases among animals) in the country, the pace of supply growth at the largest poultry and egg producers in the world and the development of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East. (PAP)
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