2026-03-04 08:20
publication
2026-03-04 08:20
Despite the death of Ayatollah Khamenei and the decapitation of his command, Iran is consistently implementing its plan to cause global chaos. By attacking energy infrastructure in the Persian Gulf and paralyzing strategic trade routes, Tehran is challenging the West in its efforts to destabilize the world economy. And the new military decentralization strategy makes Iran's war machine harder than ever to stop.
Khamenei's plan – chaos as a tool of pressure
The Iranian regime has begun implementing a drastic plan devised by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, whose goal is to cause global chaos. This strategy assumes a hit on global energy markets and paralysis of air traffic, which is intended to force the US and Israel to halt their offensive against Tehran. The regime's informants emphasize that after Western powers crossed the “red lines”, Iran no longer felt bound by any rules of the international game – these are the conclusions drawn from an analysis by the Financial Times.
A regime source told the FT that the supreme leader, who was killed on Saturday in the first wave of attacks on Tehran, and his aides began working on a “detailed” plan after Israel's devastating 12-day war with Iran last June.
Despite the death of Khamenei and key military commanders as a result of US-Israeli bombings, the plan is consistently implemented. The interim leadership council confirmed that hostilities were continuing harmoniously and in accordance with the late leader's previous directives. The continuation of the operation despite the decapitation of the highest authorities is intended to demonstrate the determination and stability of Iran's state structures.
A blow to the heart of the global economy
The regime dramatically escalated its response, attacking energy infrastructure in the Persian Gulf, including facilities in Qatar and Saudi Arabia. This led to the suspension of LNG supplies and a sharp increase in commodity prices on global markets. Additionally, the paralysis of shipping in the strategic Strait of Hormuz directly affected global energy security, fulfilling Iran's threat to transfer the costs of the war to the international community. And Saudi's “spare” pipeline won't save the world from oil shortages…
Iranian drones and missiles have also attacked civilian and military targets in the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Iraq, Oman and Bahrain. The strikes against hotels, ports and airports are aimed at destroying the image of these countries as safe business centers. Tehran clearly communicates to its neighbors that their geographical proximity to Iran and the presence of US troops on their territory currently involve enormous investment risk and physical threats.
Decentralization and the fight for survival
A key element of Iran's new strategy is command decentralization. Learning lessons from previous clashes, Tehran gave military units a high degree of autonomy, allowing them to act independently based on previous instructions. This structure is intended to prevent paralysis of the army in the event of the elimination of the central command, which makes the Iranian war machine more difficult to stop by point intelligence attacks.
The current escalation is perceived by Tehran as a fight for survival, which has changed the regime's previously reserved calculations. Pro-Iranian militias, such as Hezbollah in Lebanon and militias in Iraq, also actively joined the conflict, attacking US and Israeli bases. This means the worst-case scenario of a full-scale regional war coming true, which Iran has previously tried to avoid by keeping the fighting away from its borders.
How much will Uncle Sam's Iran adventure cost us?
The United States government once again decided to attack Iran, this time using the overthrow of the ayatollah regime as a pretext. But the bill for all this will still be passed on to the rest of the world in the form of more expensive fuels and higher CPI inflation.
A risky game and the specter of a long war
Iran's actions are being criticized by analysts who point to Tehran's growing diplomatic isolation. By attacking its Gulf neighbors who previously sought détente, the regime risks pushing them into the camp supporting the actions of the US and Israel. Experts describe Iran's attitude as “irrational and reckless”, pointing to the real danger of total loss of control over the dynamics of the conflict.
Despite huge personnel losses, the new commanders of the Revolutionary Guards took over supervision of the operations, declaring their readiness for a long-term clash. The conflict is involving other countries, including Great Britain, which has made its bases available for operations against Iran. The situation has gained momentum of its own, leading the region towards an unpredictable future in which there is no common understanding about the ultimate goal of the war.
Prepared by JM
