Business

Poland is the runner-up in economic growth in the EU, inflation is the lowest in almost two years, and the golden race continues

2026-02-14 06:00

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2026-02-14 06:00

A lot happened – this is how you can sum up the past week. Inflation in Poland, the USA and China, but also a number of GDP data in the euro zone and beyond. For now, the Polish economy is on track, but the British are not so lucky. And the prices of donuts – because they are also worth mentioning. We invite you to a traditional summary of the week in charts.

Poland is the runner-up in economic growth in the EU, inflation is the lowest in almost two years, and the golden race continues
Poland is the runner-up in economic growth in the EU, inflation is the lowest in almost two years, and the golden race continues
photo: sasirin pamai / / Shutterstock

The Central Statistical Office has published the latest data on Poland's economic growth. After an excellent third quarter, the end of the year brought an acceleration in the annual dynamics. The result for the entire year 2025 confirms that the Polish economy, although it can afford more, is on the right track. Forecasts for 2026 predict an acceleration in the growth rate.

January brought a deeper than expected drop in CPI inflation in the United States. This is good news for holders of financial assets because it paves the way for further interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.

Bankier.pl based on BLS data

In the last quarter of last year, Poland recorded the second highest annual GDP dynamics in the European Union countries. In this comparison, I omit Ireland, where gross domestic product statistics do not reflect the state of the real economy.

Bankier.pl based on Eurostat

Due to the effect of last year's high reference base, CPI inflation in January 2026 was the lowest in almost two years – according to the latest data from the Central Statistical Office. However, in a month this result will be subject to a routine annual review.

Bankier.pl based on the Central Statistical Office

The second week of February brought stabilization of retail fuel prices in Poland. The situation on global stock exchanges also calmed down, where gasoline and diesel prices stopped rising so quickly.

Nearly 1.25 tons of gold was purchased by the People's Bank of China in January 2026, according to the latest data. This means an increase in the pace of purchases of the royal metal compared to the previous three months and the 15th consecutive month of consistent increase in reserves. The previous shopping series lasted even longer.

The beginning of 2026 saw continued solid sales of retail Treasury bonds. Poles lent the government almost PLN 5 billion net, despite increasingly lower interest rates offered by Polish treasury securities.

The Reserve Bank of Australia was the first Western central bank to decide to increase interest rates after the monetary easing cycle. This raises the question of whether this is a matter of Australian exceptionalism or the beginning of a reversal of a global trend.

BIS

Round one hundred years ago – on February 10, 1926, Gdynia obtained city rights. On the anniversary day, we check how the Gdynia real estate market has changed in recent years. The conclusions for those looking for apartments – whether to buy or rent – are not optimistic. Although last year was marked by stabilization, in the long term Gdynia is facing one of the highest increases in rent rates and amounts paid for new apartments.

January was the fifth month in a row in which the average asking price of rents for the most popular apartments in Warsaw decreased – according to Otodom Analytics data. The same series takes place in Kraków and Gdynia, and in the case of studio apartments also in Gdańsk and Wrocław. All this means that in the case of the largest cities we are talking about lower rent prices than a year ago.

The worst opening of the year for car showrooms in three years. Sales of new passenger cars decreased by 9% year-on-year. However, three things have not changed compared to last year. This is Toyota's dominant position and the still high popularity of electric cars and “Chinese” cars.

Registrations of new passenger cars in Poland in January 2026.

– the most popular models among Polish individual customers

No.

Model

Number of registrations

1.

Toyota Yaris Cross

536

2.

Volkswagen T-Roc

533

3.

Toyota C-HR

483

4.

Kia Sportage

443

5.

Toyota Corolla

437

6.

Toyota Aygo

404

7.

Toyota RAV4

394

8.

Hyundai Tucson

382

9.

Toyota Yaris

379

10.

Toyota Corolla Cross

356

11.

Skoda Kamiq

338

12.

Cupra Formentor

332

13.

MGHS

309

14.

Volkswagen T-Cross

305

15.

Dacia Duster

294

16.

Omoda OMODA5

285

17.

Dacia Sandero

242

18.

Volkswagen Tiguan

238

19.

Renault Captur

236

20.

MG ZS

231

Source: Polish Automotive Industry Association

The January inflation reading from the Middle Kingdom brought another cold shower to investors. The dynamics of consumer prices (CPI) unexpectedly slowed down, missing economists' forecasts. Producer prices continue to fall, confirming that the Chinese economy continues to struggle with deep structural problems and weak domestic demand.

Trading Economics

Fat Thursday is the one day of the year when a donut ceases to be just a sweet snack and becomes the most important economic indicator in Poland. Even though the prices of raw materials have fallen, we will not be greeted with a pleasant surprise at the checkout. What is the Donut Index in 2026 and how much do we have to work for one piece of traditional pleasure? Check the analysis of Bankier.pl.

Donut Index 2026

Donut price – 2026

Donut Index 2026

Donut price – 2025

Donut Index 2025

PLN 0.69 (promotional)

5226

PLN 0.49 (promotional)

6655

PLN 2.5 (markets)

1442

PLN 2.2 (markets)

1482

PLN 5.5 (bakeries)

655

PLN 4.5 (bakeries)

725

PLN 12 (handicraft)

300

PLN 10 (handicraft)

326

PLN 26 (“celebrity”)

138

PLN 22 (“celebrity”)

148

Source: Bankier.pl

The offensive of Chinese sales platforms continues to gain strength. In 2025 alone, brands such as Temu, SHEIN and AliExpress spent millions of zlotys on advertising on Meta's websites, and marketing activities are gaining momentum. What does Temu's biggest competitor, Allegro, look like in this context? Have the advertising expenditures of Chinese brands translated into revenues and the number of users?

Report of the Chamber of Electronic Commerce “Chinese e-commerce platforms and the Polish economy”

Prepared by JM

Source:

Ashley Davis

I’m Ashley Davis as an editor, I’m committed to upholding the highest standards of integrity and accuracy in every piece we publish. My work is driven by curiosity, a passion for truth, and a belief that journalism plays a crucial role in shaping public discourse. I strive to tell stories that not only inform but also inspire action and conversation.

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