2026-01-01 14:30
publication
2026-01-01 14:30
In the case of 4 out of every 10 adult immigrants from Ukraine, there is a very high or high probability of staying in Poland permanently – estimate analysts of the Polish Economic Institute. The decision to stay in Poland is more of a psychological and emotional issue than just a pragmatic calculation of tangible benefits.
“We estimate that 4 out of every 10 adult immigrants from Ukraine have a very high or high probability of staying in Poland permanently.. People belonging to this group more often than others plan to stay in Poland for a longer time, try to obtain Polish citizenship or declare a greater sense of bond with Poland than others,” the report wrote.
“The remaining 60 percent of the adult migrant population from Ukraine is in a phase that can be described as pragmatic or transitional. These people remain in Poland mainly due to current employment, economic necessity or lack of alternative. At the same time, these people most often do not have specific plans regarding their future place of residence or are not convinced of their desire to stay in Poland,” it added.
The authors of the report indicate that a higher level of integration increases the likelihood of staying in Poland, but this is not the only factor that determines this process.
“Even immigrants with a high level of integration may decide to leave Poland, and immigrants with a low level of integration may remain due to lack of alternative. From the point of view of the Polish labor market, the group of immigrants with a high level of 'entry' into society, but with a low probability of remaining, is crucial,” it said.
“They constitute 20 percent of immigrants. Integration policy targeted at this group may have a multiplier effect and significantly affect the retention of Ukrainian talents and employees,” it added.
The analysis shows that the decision to stay in Poland is more of a psychological and emotional issue than just a pragmatic calculation of measurable benefits.
“The level of integration in the identity dimension is more than four times more strongly correlated with the probability of staying in Poland than the economic dimension,” the report wrote.
“The retention policy for Ukrainian immigrants cannot be based solely on inclusive programs, but should also pay attention to legal stability, security, economic alternatives and family support,” it added. (PAP Business)
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