How important Romania is for the allies. Armand Goșu's message: “Westerners are not stupid enough to make them talk”
Historian Armand Goșu, an expert in the history of Russia and the former Soviet space, explains, for “The Truth”, how important Romania is both for the allies and for Russia, in reality.
Romania hopes to be defended by Macron's France. PHOTO: X
The talks between the United States of America and the Russian Federation are increasingly frightening the Europeans.
The fear of the Europeans comes from the fact that it is assumed that the Americans could initial a new security arrangement that could diminish the security guarantees granted to several states, including Romania. Russian-American negotiations could put all the pressure on Kiev, warned the head of EU diplomacy, Kaja Kallas, who insists on using frozen Russian assets for Ukraine.
Why we fear a Russian-American alliance
On top of all this, Europeans still fear that they will be abandoned by the Trump administration, given that the American leader is more interested in achieving peace at any cost in Ukraine. The interests of Europeans and Ukraine could thus be put on the back burner. In this case, not only the security of Ukraine, but also that of the European Union could be affected. And the countries on NATO's eastern flank, including Romania, would obviously be the most affected in this case.
But how important Romania can be for Russia and for our allies and how much support and support we can expect from them is a question that concerns Bucharest and to which a possible answer is offered, for “The Truth”, by Professor Armand Goșu.
The risks that Romania is facing at this moment are considerable, and the politicians are to blame, believes the renowned historian.
Incompetent and selfish politicians, intelligence services as well
“The big bug is in the political parties. By humiliating them and hiding them under the misery of these parties, I don't think that Romania is doing any good. I see a degradation. In the future, there is a risk that Romania will not enter the hard core of the new European construction, that it will be a kind of Serbia, a… nobody's zone. In fact, it already is, wait a minute. Bulgaria will enter the euro zone in a few weeks. Is there any question of Romania doing the same? No, there is no question for Romania to enter the euro zone. Romania is worse than Africa. Cancel presidential elections“, warns Goșu.
Romania is a country where the secret services have increased powers, leaders for 20 years, as in the case of Lucian Pahonțu, head of the SPP, and civilian control over them is almost non-existent. Also, in Armand Goșu's opinion, Romanian politicians only follow their own interests, and the situation, including internally, is worrying while Romania has a war on the border. Although the Romanian authorities try to give assurances that they have the situation under control and that the allies will support us in all respects, things would not be quite like that. And the bad news is that the plans and dreams of Aleksandr Dughin, known as “Putin's brain” or his “ideologist”, could become reality, as far as Romania is concerned.
Armand Gosu. PHOTO: The truth
Why our allies are tired of us
“In Romania, there is not even a democratic control over the secret services. I know that you sometimes talk to diplomats, or to analysts, I mean the foreign ones, to tell you the true things, not the kind of nonsense that is sold to us on TV. Do you think that Westerners do not see these things, do you think that they are all stupid, we manipulate them, we make them talk? When a decision is reached, do you think that these people who see the mess in Romania will they turn into Romania's lawyers? Let them say: “Yes, sir, let's support them, let them stay with us, let them go to the core”. the Slavic world, to connect the Eastern Slavs with the Southern Slavs. This is really not ok for us”warns the teacher.
Visits to Paris and Berlin for nothing
Neither the visit of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan to Paris, when he was interim president, nor the visit of the head of state, Nicușor Dan, to Berlin, convince Armand Goșu otherwise. Treated in a triumphalist style in the country, the two visits were rather conjunctural, the expert claims. And Armand Goșu also explains why he has these doubts.
“Nicușor Dan's visit to Berlin was prepared a year ago for someone else. The Germans kept postponing it. It was totally prepared for someone else. The visit to Paris was not even a bilateral visit. It was only a Romanian participation in the coalition of will related to the problem of Ukraine. Because yes, you cannot ignore Romania at all. It is big, it has the longest border with Ukraine. But our problem is that we need much more than that. But is the Bucharest regime legitimate? We kept waving, that I don't know what… For now, people who are good at these things are thinking about what they should do.“, adds Armand Goșu.
Romania, geographically important, politically absent
In such a situation, even if from a geographical point of view Romania is important, from a political point of view it is much too little relevant. In addition, the international context is not helping us at all, as US-Russian relations improve and the United States of America becomes increasingly disinterested in Europe.
“Romania… It, geographically, is very important. However, this is a dramatic moment of the return of alliances. For 35 years, we bet on the Americans. We are here a kind of American outpost on the Black Sea, in this area towards the former Soviet space. Now the Americans have changed the page, they have different relations with Russia. Or in the moments when the Russians and the Americans are together, then the regimes in Bucharest, the political regimes in Bucharest, who think in the paradigm of conflict between Moscow and Washington, they have difficulty repositioning themselves”says Goșu.
The last time Romania found itself in this situation, in 1989, things went badly for former dictator Nicolae Ceaușescu. Armand Goșu expects that nothing good will happen to Romania this time either, given that this time the leaders are no longer Gorbachev or Ronald Reagan. Thus, as the United States of America and Putin's Russia approach the moment when they clap their hands and restore their relations, some problems can be expected for Romania.
“For us, it is absolutely not good when Russia and the USA slap hands. This was seen last time. During Ceausescu's time, Gorbachev came to power. The relations of the Soviet Union with the United States of America changed radically and improved, and Ceausescu fell between the chairs. Not because the Soviets were tricksters. Now it's kind of the other way around. There are no longer the two positive characters, Gorbachev and Ronald Reagan. There are two negative characters, Putin and Trump. But the idea is the same, it's the return of alliances. At the moment when Moscow allies itself with Washington, it's going to be desperate. You go to Washington, you're going to jump on Trump's neck, and he's going to say, “Come on, let's do another Trump Tower”. so”points out the expert.
Romania's dilemma: will the Europeans defend us?
In the given context, Romania reaches the hands of the Europeans, who, however, are not at all satisfied with what they see in Bucharest. And even if the politicians claim that Romania is completely aligned with the great European powers and with Brussels, Armand Goșu is of a completely different opinion.
“Europe can defend itself from Russia and will defend itself from Russia, but that does not mean that the main European capitals believe that Romania also deserves to be defended by Russia. Poland deserves it, the Baltics deserve it, Finland deserves it. Here, Bulgaria, Romania, in this Orthodox area, which has had an ambiguous relationship with Russia throughout history, we really do not know what will happen. We hope it will be good, but for now I do not see that we would have good relations in Paris, London and Berlin, so that we break the doors over there with I don't know what embassy or I don't know what contacts. Romania has nothing like that, it has no arguments. I hope I'm wrong“, claims Armand Goșu.
