What route could we have in the world play-off »Mandatory condition + the most accessible opponents

If Romania takes its revenge to Zenica for the failure of the National Arena (0-1), it has the guarantee that it will be ranked on the second position and that it goes to the dam based on the preliminaries and not thanks to the status of group winners in the League C of nations. The advantage is important: we avoid the most powerful opponents, from the ballot box, led by Italy and Turkey.

What does the Value Holds for the Play-off are currently looking:

• Urn 1: Italy (1,712), Turkey (1,562), Ukraine (1,551), Wales (1,527)

• Urna 2: Poland (1,524), Scotland (1,504), Czech Republic (1,499), Hungary (1,485)

• Urna 3: Romania (1,480), Slovakia (1,476), Slovenia (1,458), Albania (1.396)

• Urna 4: Sweden, Northern Macedonia, Northern Ireland, Moldova
  * In brackets, the points in the FIFA standings are passed.

Romania has arrived close to the Czech Republic, the last in the 2nd ballot!

According to the update of the situation of the FIFA standings, Romania has 1,480.13 points and has approached a lot to the Czech Republic, the last in the second ballot box. The victory with Austria brought us 15.74 points in the top that will be updated on October 23.

36percent is the chance of Romania to finish the group in the second place and to go to the dam on the route of the preliminarii, not the one B already provided by the Nations League

Because Romania defeated a valuable Maoi team (the 25th place today). And adding the success from the friendly with Moldova, the “tricolors” raised by 17.28, which means A jump of 6 seats (from 51 to 45)!

Ianis Hagi, in duel with Schmid, Romania – Austria 1-0 / Photo: Cristi Preda (GSP)

Safe from the second place in the group (it still has to play with Gibraltar), the Czech Republic has descended 5 positions (-15.61 points), due to the failure with the Faroe Islands (1-2), and only retains an advance of 4.55 points compared to Romania. And it will get a bonus small enough not to accumulate a score over “tricolors” if they will gather 6 points until the end, with Bosnia and San Marino.

25One percent increased Romania's chances of catching the qualifying play-off from the position of 2 in the preliminary group CM 2026, the largest in the October match window. The highest decrease is the Czech (-35%)

Revenge with Slovenia or Albania. Plus final with Wales?

From the second ballot, we would have a chance to overcome Hungary (1,498.68 points, the 40th place) and Scotland (1,504,20, 37th place), but it is enough to put under us one of this list, given that the Hungarians and Scots have no easy program until the end of the preliminaries CM 2026.

Mircea Lucescu, on the bench, in Romania – Austria 1-0 / Photo: Cristi Preda / GSP

If when drawing lots for the March dams will be in the second ballot box, Romania will dispute semi -final on their own ground. And the opponent would choose from among Czech Republic, Slovenia, Slovakia and Albania. We could thus have the revenge for the failure suffered in the 2001 world play-off with Slovenians (2-3 general) or the one in the Euro 2016 group (0-1).

If we won the eventual semifinal in Bucharest, we would have only one match to the US tour, Mexico and Canada. With a winner from a match that will oppose a series and a qualified team from the Nations League. The hosts of the finals, like the mating of the opponents, will be established by drawing lots.

This is the most probable semifinals, according to the simulation of over 10,000 variants by statistics / photo: X Football Meets Dara

If the “tricolors” will be lucky, then they would avoid “Balaurii” Italy and Turkey and we could face Ukraine, Wales (according to the current configuration) or even Poland, which has the chance to make the rock with the Welsh. and pass between the series leaders.