Türkiye is preparing the land for a rapid limitation of gas purchases from Russia, whose share in the market has dropped over the past two decades from 60 percent. up to 37 percent
After the appeal of US President Donald Trump regarding the resignation of Russian energy raw materials by NATO countries, Türkiye concluded large contracts to buy American liquefied natural gas (LNG), reports the Reuters agency. In total, Ankara plans to buy an American gas worth $ 43 billion. (approx. PLN 157 billion).
In September, a 20-year agreement was concluded with Mercuria, which from 2026 will deliver 4 billion cubic meters to the Turkish market. LNG per year. In addition, Türkiye increases domestic gas production. According to the calculations of the Reuters agency, thanks to this, imports will increase from 15 billion cubic meters. This year to over 26 billion cubic meters. in 2028
As a result, gas supply through pipelines – apart from Russia, also from Iran and Azerbaijan – will bring to 26 billion cubic meters, i.e. they will be more than 1.5 times smaller than today (53 billion cubic meters).
Türkiye focuses on itself
Russian gas supplies to Turkey – 22 billion cubic meters. Annually through the gas pipelines “Blue Stream” and “Turkish stream” – they will soon expire. Agreement for 16 billion cubic meters. It expires this year and for now there is no agreement on its extension. Agreement with Iran for 10 billion cubic meters. It will expire in mid -2026, while contracts with Azerbaijan for a total amount of 9 billion 500 million cubic meters. They apply until 2030 and 2033.
Because Türkiye no longer needs Russian gas, [turecka państwowa firma gazowa] Botas could theoretically stop importing from Russia in two or three years, believes Aleksiej Biełogoriew, director of research and development of the Institute of Energy and Finance. However, in his opinion Türkiye will not do it, because further purchases will allow you to create surplusesthat will allow you to exert price pressure on other suppliers.
Türkiye will probably extend some of these contracts, but will reduce their scales and will demand more flexible conditions to diversify the sources of deliveries, said the Reuters Sohbet Carbuz agency from the Mediterranean Mediterranean Organization for Energy and Climate:
Türkiye makes it clear that it will use excess LNG on the global market.
On the global LNG market, hypertension is already beginning to form. The International Energy Agency (MEA) predicts that as a result of launching many new production capacity in North America, Africa and Qatar in the coming years it will only increase. It makes him The condensed gas becomes competitive in terms of gas supplied with pipes.
The Minister of Energy of Turkey Altslan Bayraktar stated in October that Türkiye must obtain gas from all available sourcesincluding from Russia, Iran and Azerbaijan, but he noted that the American LNG is a more profitable alternative.
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LNG hypertension?
Trump publicly put pressure on allies, calling NATO countries to break existing energy ties with Russia. During the meeting at the White House on September 25, Trump demanded from Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan to stop buying Russian energy raw materials. When asked the journalist, he answered: – Yes, I believe that he would do it. Do you know why? Because maybe they are [surowce energetyczne] It is also good to buy from others.
Among the “others” are primarily the United States, which already Now they are the largest LNG exporter in the world. But according to the data of the American Energy Information Agency (EIA) by 2028, their export capacity will almost double – from 320 million cubic meters. up to 595 million cubic meters. per day, i.e. from 117 billion to 217 billion cubic meters, respectively. annually. This year, according to EIA forecasts, LNG export from the States will increase by 19 %, and in 2026 – by another 15 percent.
10 LNG terminals are currently being built in North America: five in the United States, three in Canada (the first line started shipping in summer) and two in Mexico.
There will be so much liquefied gas that “There is a great uncertainty about what markets and sectors will be able to accept additional amounts“, warns the International Energy Agency. In one of the possible scenarios, it predicts that in 2030 the LNG over -tacing on the global market will be 130 billion cubic meters.
I’m Ashley Davis as an editor, I’m committed to upholding the highest standards of integrity and accuracy in every piece we publish. My work is driven by curiosity, a passion for truth, and a belief that journalism plays a crucial role in shaping public discourse. I strive to tell stories that not only inform but also inspire action and conversation.
