epic simulation and two horror cases!

Article by Liviu Manolache, Alexandru Barbu – published on Wednesday, September 24, 2025, 14:53 / Updated Wednesday, September 24, 2025 14:53
Fcsb He is on the ground in Liga 1 after 10 stages, but he has real chances of reaching the play-off, shows a GSP simulation based on last season, but also according to the champion of the last 5 seasons during the 11-30 rounds. Attention, however: there are two precedents dangerous to FCSB!
After 10 stages, FCSB ranks 13th in Superliga, having only 7 points accumulated, an incredible scenario for the champion of the last editions. In order to catch the play-off, the band coached by Pintilii and Charalambous needs a spectacular return. Is it possible?
The previous championship, FCSB was in a similar posture. On the 13th place before the 11th stage, then the red-blue returned fantastically-they won 46 points in the 11-30 rounds and finished the regular season at the head of the hierarchy.
What happened last season after stage #10
|
TEAM |
Points accumulated in stages 11-30 |
|
Fcsb |
46p |
|
Craiova, CFR |
36p |
|
Dinamo |
35p |
|
Rapid |
34p |
|
U Cluj |
30p |
|
TEAM |
Balance sheet after 30 stages |
|
Fcsb |
56p |
|
cf. |
54p |
|
Craiova |
52p |
|
U Cluj |
52p |
|
Dinamo |
51p |
|
Rapid |
46p |
GSP simulation: reply after season 2024-2025 and FCSB is in the play-off!
On a GSP simulation based on the previous championship, FCSB could catch the play-off even after this disastrous start.
If all the teams present in the last edition of the play-off will repeat the course until the end of the current regular season, FCSB would catch the play-off-it would have the 3rd score, on a fast. And CFR would reach the top 6, with the 5th score.

Recent History ensures that FCSB will recover
GSP has analyzed the course of FCSB in stages 11-30 for each of the last 5 seasons, since Liga 1 has returned to the system with 16 teams and 30 stages in the regular season.
FCSB has made over 40 points in 4 of the last 5 seasons, the weakest course registering it in the 2023/2024 edition.
Monitoring the last 5 championships, with the weakest score between the 11th and round, 39 points in the '23/'24 edition, to which the 7th of the present, FCSB would have missed the play-off only in the '21/'22 edition.
Season 2023-2024
|
Points accumulated in stages 11-30 |
The ranking at the end of the regular season |
|
FCSB 39p |
FCSB 64P |
|
Quickly 37p |
Rapid 55p |
|
CFR, Craiova, Sepsi, U Cluj*, UTA* 31p |
CFR 53P |
|
Lighthouse 30p |
Craiova 49p |
|
Lighthouse, Sepsi 43p |
*Didn't catch the play-off
Season 2022-2023
|
Points accumulated in stages 11-30 |
The ranking at the end of the regular season |
|
FCSB 46p |
Lighthouse 64p |
|
Lighthouse 43p |
CFR 63P |
|
CFR 42p |
FCSB 57p |
|
Craiova 39p |
Craiova 54p |
|
Quickly 31p |
Quickly 52p |
|
Sepsi 29p |
Sepsi 42p |
Season 2021-2022
|
Points accumulated in stages 11-30 |
The ranking at the end of the regular season |
|
CFR 49p |
CFR 76p |
|
FCSB 44P |
FCSB 62p |
|
Craiova 38p |
Craiova 54p |
|
FC Argeș 34P |
FC Argeș, Lighthouse 48p |
|
Lighthouse, Sepsi* 30p |
FC Voluntari 47p |
|
FC Voluntari 29p |
|
|
FC Botosani 25p |
*Didn't catch the play-off
The 2020-2021 season
|
Points accumulated in stages 11-30 |
The ranking at the end of the regular season |
|
CFR 43P |
FCSB 65p |
|
FCSB 41P |
CFR 64P |
|
Craiova 34p |
Craiova 58p |
|
Astra 33p* |
Sepsi 45p |
|
FC Argeș 32p* |
Clinceni 44p |
|
FC Botosani 31p |
FC Botosani 42p |
|
Sepsi 29p |
|
|
Clinceni 28p |
*Didn't catch the play-off
Another 6 conclusions after GSP analysis:
- The record record during the 11-30 stages of the Petrescu's CFR from '21/'22-49 points. In two other seasons the Cluj passed 40p: '20/'21 – 43 and '22/'23 – 42.
- Craiova University has never been able to reach 40 points during this period, the best score by making it in '22/'23 – 39.
- Only once 3 teams made over 40 points in the 20 rounds analyzed, in '22/'23, when, besides FCSB – 46 and CFR – 42, the Lighthouse removed 43. At the end of that season, the Dobrogens took the title.
- In '21/'22, FC Botosani was 2nd after 10 stages, as now, with 21 points in the record, two over the current balance sheet, and missed the play-off (25 points accumulated in the last 20 stages-46 total). That season was the one in which the last qualified in the play -off had the most points, FC Voluntari – 47.
- 42 points had FC Botosani in '20/'21 and Sepsi '22/'23, being the teams that caught the play-off with the lowest score.
- Never the first 6 from the end of the 10th round have all qualified in the play-off, the percentage of promotion in the upper phase being 70%.
Attention, FCSB!
There are also negative precedents for the exercise champion.
In '20/'21, in the ranking made up of the results of stages 11-30, Astra took 4th-33 points, but missed the play-off because it only removed 5 points in the first 10 rounds. There followed a play-out horror for Giurgiuveni, a single victory in 9 matches, results that led to the relegation of the former champion.
Also in '20/'21, FC Argeș has released 32 points in the last 20 rounds, but missed the play-off due to the first third of the regular season, when it made only 8 points.
- Leave your predictions for FCSB debut in the new Europa League season, away with GO Ahead Eagles, and Can you win one of 5 Europa League balls!




