Military expert Tor Bukkvoll estimated that the attack on Ukraine began to be treated by the Kremlin as an opportunity to gain experience and prepare the Russian army for the next war. Russian leader Vladimir Putin was to realize technological and material weaknesses in relation to the West that armed Ukraine.
First, Russia will try “escaping forward” – says the analyst. For Tor Bukkvolla, the main strategic task, which Kremlin decision -makers decided, is to be the development of artificial intelligence and its military use.
“It will be a project for Moscow tailored to the American” Manhattan project “, and the decision to make it is expected this year” – writes the researcher.
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Russia plans to develop AI in the army. However, there are doubts
At the same time, the Bukkvoll track expressed doubts whether Russia is able to accomplish such a comprehensive task, especially with limited intellectual potential and shrinking financial reserves. However, if he does not take this challenge, a technologically delayed army will start to stand out even more clearly from the west.
China's support may be support for Russia. According to an analyst, such a decision would be easy for Beijing, and Moscow's addiction to Chinese technologies is particularly desirable. In this case, Vladimir Putin would have to accept the long -term binding of his country with China on the international arena. “That's why many Russians are skeptical about this idea,” said the Norwegian researcher.
For this reason, the Kremlin would also consider another strategy, consisting in limiting the participation in the technology race to build a quantitative advantage, in which the quality of the solutions used will not matter.
Examples to which the expert from the FFI pointed out would be the actual suspension of the modernization of the latest tank in the Russian Arsenal T-14 Armata and very limited purchases of the fifth generation Su-57 aircraft. Increasing the amount of older equipment would be cheaper for Putin. It would also not require involving hard -to -reach resources, it would avoid addiction to China, and it would be sufficient to achieve current military goals.
