“The honeymoon is over”. Like Trump disappointed millions of Americans
The first six months of Donald Trump's second term came to an end – and these were really intense months. The US president signed as much as 176 decreeshe initiated a commercial dispute with the rest of the world, bombed Iranian nuclear facilities, arrested tens of thousands of undocumented immigrants, and recently forced the Congress a reform package worth billions of dollars.
“The most successful first six months for the president in the latest history of the United States” – the White House triumphed in a press release. Only that Americans apparently have a different opinion. In the latest survey of the American Institute of Public Opinion Gallup, the support for Trump fell to the lowest level from the beginning of his second term.
According to the poll Only 37 percent respondents believe that Trump is doing well with his president's duties – In January it was almost 50 percent. Support among republicans remains at a constant, high level (89 percent), while among the democrats, as expected, low (2 %). Interesting is the third group of voters: Independents who do not identify with any of the parties.
It was they who helped Trump in November to win in all decisive states. And it is they who now seem to lose sympathy for Trump: among non -party people 29 percent. He believes that the US president is doing a good job. It is as much as 17 pp less than at the beginning of the second term – and the lowest result he has ever obtained in this group of voters.
Other polls fall slightly better from Trump's point of view, but generally confirm the downward trend. “The honeymoon is over” – said the Democrats strategist Joe Caiazzo to the American portal “The Hill”. Trump's policy “did not bring the results that working people need to feel improvement in their everyday life.” This analysis is reflected in the results of the polls.
Inflation is still at a high level
The greatest dissatisfaction applies to the topic, which was the focal point of his election campaign: economy. Trump started with a promise to reduce huge food prices and revive American industry – including Through the duties imposed on the main competitor, China.
However, after half a year, inflation lasts at a high level. In June it increased by up to 0.3 pp to 2.7 percent, reaching the highest level from February. The prices of some foods, but also imported goods, such as furniture and clothing, increased particularly strongly. One of the main reasons is Trump's customs policy, which caused uncertainty among enterprises and markets, and raised the prices of imported goods.
The US president is now suffering in surveys. In the Gallup Only just over a third of respondents assessed his activities in the field of economy and trade as good. Among the independent voters, this percentage was just over a quarter. Other polls show similar results. In the Silver Bulletin aggregator, which combines the results of various research institutes, the support indicators in the areas of the economy (-12) and trade (-16) are clearly negative.
Trump's situation is even worse when it comes to specifically inflation: According to Silver Bulletin, the average support rate here is -24 percent. In a study conducted by CBS and Analytic Institute, YouGov 70 percent Respondents expressed the opinion that the administration is not doing enough to lower prices. Half said that Trump's policy worsened their financial situation.
Americans are fighting poverty
The new Trump reform package can help much. “The great, beautiful act” provides, among others Tax relief for enterprises and some groups, primarily well -paid people. In return, subsidies on “Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program” will be limited, a program for helping for needy families in the form of food vouchers, and on the “Medicaid” healthcare program, as a result of which millions of Americans may lose health insurance.
US President Donald Trump, Washington, July 23, 2025Andrew Caballero-Reynolds / AFP
Despite the cuts, this package will probably cause Increase in public debt by over $ 3 trillion (PLN 11 trillion). All this is not met with a good reception of voters. Many believe that the prestigious Trump project will bring benefits above all richer, or rather harm the middle and lower class. In the Gallup study, the issue of public debt obtained the lowest result among all topics: only 29 percent. all respondents and 19 percent Non -party people support the Trump course.
Also in a survey conducted by the Fox News 58 percent respondents reject reforms, including one -fifth of Republicans. A rapid increase in public debt (74 percent of opposition) and budget cuts in the field of food vouchers (65 percent of opposition), but also planned increases in expenditure on the construction of detection centers for immigrants, which rejecting 59 percent. respondents.
Criticism of migration policy
This leads us to the second topic that He once gave Trump a victory in the election, and now he causes him problems: migration. Support for this issue is slightly better than for economic policy – it is 38 percent. in the Gallup and -5 survey in the Silver Bulletin aggregator. The vast majority continue to support primarily borders and a harder line towards people with migration experience who have a criminal past.
However, more and more people have doubts about how Trump intends to make the promise of mass deportations made during the election campaign. In recent weeks there have been many reports with catastrophic conditions prevailing in detention centers and photos from the raids of the American ICE immigration service in schools and workplaces, which aimed to detect undeocumbed immigrants.
In contrast to what the US President always emphasized, Searches are not directed primarily against criminals. According to media reports, the vast majority of tens of thousands of detainees have no criminal past. For many Americans, these procedures seem arbitrary. As the current CNN survey shows, 55 percent respondents believe that the president goes too far in the matter of deportation of immigrants – it is 10 pp more than in February.
Donald Trump in the Detective Center Alligator Alcatraz, Ochopee, 1 July 2025.Andrew Caballero-Reynolds / AFP
60 percent respondents are against the deportation of immigrants who are not criminals, and 57 percent rejects the construction of prisons for deported ones. Less than a third supports the search places by immigration services. Also in this case, the number of opposing people, especially among independent voters, has increased clearly. Even among the supporters of Republicans, a growing group critically assesses Trump's deportation policy.
Epstein scandal
Trump also has a completely different problem, which meets with acute criticism even among his main voters: the Jeffrey Epstein scandal. Magic supporters accuse the president that in the case of a sex offender who died in a detention center in 2019, hides important documents from the publicthus protecting people who can be involved in it.
On average, support for Trump in connection with this matter is -42 percent. Almost 80 percent in the YouGov survey respondents, including 75 percent Republicans demanded that the government publish all documents regarding this matter. So far, this is not reflected in the results of the polls. Many Republican supporters say that this topic is not important enough to change support. Depending on the development of the scandal, however, the situation may change.
Survey results are known for its volatility and may be incorrect, and there are still more than a year to the complement elections for the congress. Nevertheless, there is a decrease in support in the polls A warning for Trump. If he does not master inflation and the wrong image of his deportation program, he threatens him – and thus to the Republicans – the loss of important groups of voters that can cost their victory in 2026 in electoral districts where the results of the election are even.
It is doubtful, however, whether the democrats will be able to use the president's weakness and present an alternative offer that will speak to rebellious voters. So far, the party seems to be lost between leftist and moderate positions of its representatives, and there is no clear leadership form on the horizon. 63 percent in the latest “Wall Street Journal” survey respondents said that he had a negative picture of the Democratic Party – this is the worst result since the beginning of the research in 1990.
