Tehran, shaken by massive explosions. Israel announces direct strokes on a “production center for nuclear centrifuges”

In the middle of the night, the sky of Tehran was illuminated by violent explosions, in an episode that, although still officially incorrect by the Iranian regime, bears the imprint of a new wave of Israeli attacks. The defense forces of Israel (IDF) have publicly claimed, by posting on the X platform, a series of “precise” air strokes, directed against “weapons production sites and nuclear centrifuges,” The Guardian reports.

New Israeli bombardments in Tehran/Photo: X

According to the same source, over 50 Israeli aircraft fighter jets participated in the operation, based on information obtained by military intelligence services.

“Several weapon production installations have been targeted, including a center dedicated to the manufacture of materials and components essential for soil rockets launched by the Iranian regime against Israel,” IDF said.

A devastating flash but without decisive strategic impact

In just a few days of confrontations, Israel claims that it has managed to eliminate over a dozen of the most important scientists in the Iranian nuclear program, affected the top military command and targeted critical infrastructures of the Tehran's atomic program.

It is undoubtedly a demonstration of strength and information superiority. But international analysts and Israeli commanders admit that the impact on the nuclear program itself is limited: the infrastructure is dispersed, protected, and Iran still has significant maneuver margins.

Moreover, military interventions could have the opposite effect of the expected one. Instead of discouraging, they can accelerate Iran's race to obtain a nuclear weapon – especially if the war does not end with the full destruction of the program or with a solid agreement, supported by strict international inspections.

Between geopolitical ambitions and realities

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu justifies the attacks by approaching Iran to the “nuclear threshold”. Although it is a difficult statement to verify, Israeli officials recognize that the air raids would be delayed by just a few months the possibility of a “breakout” – the moment Iran could build a functional weapon.

But, according to the estimates of the American intelligence services, the Tehran would be, however, about three years away from the delivery of a nuclear bomb – and would not actively pursue its development.

Beyond figures, a psychological war

The immediate effect of the blows seems to be psychologically than a military. Fear has been established at the top of the Iranian regime, while folk anger – paradoxically – was directed not only against Tehran leaders, but also against Israel. Attacks on civil areas, in which children died and whole neighborhoods were destroyed, amplified the feeling of despair among the population.

“The hatred of your own government does not cancel the horror caused by a rocket that kills your family in sleep,” said a Western official under the protection of anonymity.

Fortow: Iran's nuclear heart, inaccessible to aviation

The biggest obstacle to a total destruction of the Iranian nuclear program remains the underground installation in Fortow, hidden deep below the mountains near the Saint Qom. Not even the strongest Israeli bombs could penetrate to the centrifuges that process the rich uranium.

Without the US military cooperation and without the use of “bunker business” type ammunition held exclusively by Washington, Israel does not yet have the technical means to destroy this vital point.

Even so, Israel explores alternative methods: attacks on energy sources, special command-of-type missions, electronic sabotage-tactics that he has already successfully used against Hezbollah in Syria and in Natanz installations.

A choice between war and agreement

The Israeli counselor for national security, Tzachi Hanegbi, warned that “a nuclear program cannot be destroyed by kinetic means.” The only lasting solution would be a hard international agreement, guaranteed by permanent inspections and checks.

But Netanyahu seems to reject diplomacy. He continues to push the US to a broader confrontation, relying on a favorable political window in the case of Donald Trump's return.

“I understand America First but I don't understand dead America“, The Israeli leader said in an interview on American television.

Behind the firm rhetoric and surgical strokes is hidden a cloudy geopolitical reality: Iran now has several reasons than ever to want his nuclear weapon. And if this conflagration does not end with the complete destruction of its capabilities, then it is not excluded that the Tehran regime accelerates the project – not as an option, but as a necessity.

Trump is increasingly willing to use the US Army for Attacks in Iran, Sources say

President Donald Trump is increasingly inclined towards the use of US military resources to attack Iranian nuclear installations to end the conflict between Tehran and Israel, two officials familiar with the current discussions told CNN.

The new posture, more aggressive, is a significant change in Trump's thinking, although the sources said Trump remains open to a diplomatic solution – if Iran makes significant concessions.

During the weekend until Monday, the discussions between the Trump administration officials continued to focus on trying to find a diplomatic solution to serve as an output ramp, sources familiar with the discussions.

But Trump reported on Tuesday morning that his patience for diplomacy was exhausted. “I am not too much in the necessary disposition to negotiate with Iran,” he told reporters on Air Force One, who were returning early from the summit of the 7 in Canada. He added that his goal in Iran was “an end, a real end, not a armistice” or “a complete renunciation”.

Subsequently, he insisted on Social Truth, asking Iran “unconditional teaching!” And stating that the US knew where the supreme leader of Iran was-even if they would not kill him “for now.”

Officials have stated that Trump has, for the time being, have the idea of ​​sending senior officials in an agreement agreed in the Middle East to meet the Iranians and try to conclude an agreement.

Military officials were preparing for the possibility of Trump deciding to order US Air Force to help refuel Israeli hunting planes during Iran, two sources familiar with the situation told CNN. The sources said that this is one of the reasons why over 30 American refueling planes have been sent to the region in recent days.

The refueling of Israeli aircraft would be one of the least involved American armies, sources said. In a broader sense, however, the tank planes were moved to give Trump and the US Central Command “Options” if the situation climbs, one of the sources said. This includes the option, presented to Trump by Centcom, of common US-Israel attacks on Iranian nuclear sites, the source added.

On Tuesday, after Trump has suddenly returned to Washington at the G7 Summit, his Vice -President offered one of the clearest signals so far that Trump is considering taking offensive measures to eliminate Iran nuclear installations.

JD Vance posted on X that the president “could decide that he must take additional measures to put an end to the Iranian nuclear program. This decision finally belongs to the president.”

Trump met on Tuesday with members of his national security team in the White House emergency room. Israel has pressure on Trump to get more involved in his campaign to disassemble Iranian nuclear installations, about which senior officials in the country said they would require US weapons and aircraft. An Israeli source familiar with the situation said that there is more optimism in Israel that the US will join the military campaign against Iran. But the source said that the Israelis have not yet received an official decision from the Trump administration.

Until Tuesday, the president had not offered too many clarities regarding the possibility of accepting the pressures from Israel, which was countered by strong voices from his own party that encouraged him to be attracted to another external conflict. Trump has been cautious in ordering the US to get involved directly on behalf of Israelis, beyond providing defensive support for intercepting Iranian missiles and US secret services.

However, in a series of posts on Tuesday's social media, Trump seemed more and more combative and used the word “us” to describe the military action in Iran.