Putin is preparing a new offensive. Ukraine wants to organize hell to the Russians
The Russian forces were won by four border villages in the summary region in Ukraine, where they gathered tens of thousands of soldiers. Currently, they are moving forward in the east of Ukraine, towards the city of Konstantynówka.
Kyiv is preparing for a large Russian offensive expected in the summer in Donetska region that Moscow has been trying to get from the beginning of the war. This time Putin is to be prepared enough. This is the last chance for him to carry out such a big attack. The clock is ticking.
Local authorities announced on Tuesday that Russian forces took four border villages in the north-east sum of the Summian region, a few days after Russian President Vladimir Putin issued an order to his troops to create a buffer zone along the border. However, the President of Ukraine Wołodymyr Zelanski announced that the Russians were replied over the distance of four kilometers in this area within two days.
The Reuters agency reports that Putin did not specify where exactly the “safety buffer zone” will run along the border or how long it will be. However, Zelanski stated that Russia wants a buffer zone about 10 km wide.
Sensitive border
The summary circuit in Ukraine borders with the Kurski District in Russia, which Ukraine invaded in the summer of last year, took over and controlled part of the territory for many months before in April this year. It was almost completely displaced. Putin said that the long limit is susceptible to invading and that the creation of a “buffer security zone” could help Russia prevent this kind of rallies.
Oleh Chrychorow, head of the Sumy Regional Military Administration, argues that Russian forces in this region are trying to expand their influence after seizing the village.
On the other hand, the Ukrainian forces try to keep the front line – he notes, adding that the village residents have been evacuated and there is no direct threat to the civilian population.
“The Russians gathered 50,000 soldiers under sums”
In turn, on Wednesday, President Zelanski announced that Russia gathered 50,000. Soldiers near the summary region, but at the same time added that Kiev took steps to prevent Moscow from taking a large offensive there.
– said Zelanski.
He also added that the Russians “will do everything” to cross the administrative border of the Dneprop “District of the Dnipropet region, says Ukrinform.
– They haven't succeeded so far, but that's what they want. They want to get Pokrowsk, take consistent actions. The Lugansk and Donetsk regions remain exactly the strategic goals that were set for them in 2014 – assessed Zielnski.
In anticipation of a large offensive in Donetsk
Ukrainian military and analysts inform The Washington Post that Probably in the summer of this year. Russia will start a large offensive in the Donetsk region in the east of Ukraine. This is an area that Moscow has been trying to get from the beginning of the war.
The warning against the offensive – which, according to some analysts, has already begun – appeared when the peace process conducted with the US support is slowly progressing, without bringing specific results. Russia has rejected the repeated demands of America and Europe regarding the immediate suspension of weapons.
American analysts say Putin is convinced that he can still win the war militarily, although sanctions and high losses can slowly weaken the Russian war machine. According to “The Washington Post”, Summer may be their last chance for a big attack.
Control over all Donetsk became Putin's priority since he failed to get Kiev at the beginning of the invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Already in September this year, Putin announced Donetsk and three other Ukrainian regions – Zaporozhye, Khersoń and Lugansk – part of Russia, although he did not fully conquer any of them.
A large attack on Donetsk, a small along the border with catfish and Kharkov
Analysts say that in addition to the main attack on Donetsk, over which he controls in about 70 percent, the Kremlin plans to carry out smaller attacks along the north-eastern border of Ukrainian circuits: Sum and Kharkov, to put even more pressure on the Ukrainian troops on the front line.
As Mykola Bielieskov, a researcher from the Ukrainian National Institute of Strategic Studies, said, in an interview with “The Washington Post” the Russian plan assumes “an attempt to maintain Ukrainian forces on the front line – including in the Sumian and Kharkiv regions – but Podrowsk and Konstantynówka will be a priority“, Two cities in Donetsk, which Moscow has been trying to get for almost a year.
Bielieskov added that although Kostantynówka is not even close to getting, it is currently a “promising” goal for the Russians because Moscow has the opportunity to attack it from three different directions.
Analysts predicted in the summer of last year that both cities would be captured until December, and Russia's difficulties in their acquisition reflect the huge efforts made by Ukraine to defend them. But Ukraine is still struggling with a lack of recruits and firepowerwhich means that the coming months will be another challenge. Meanwhile, Russia reportedly exceeds its goals regarding the recruitment of soldiers, but according to analysts, it still does not have enough soldiers to carry out many successful offensive.
– I expect that they will focus on the Donetsk circuit. Everything else will be to distract and distract Ukrainian resources – said Bielieskov, adding that the priority treatment of the summary or Kharkiv region will not give the Russians such a large territory as they expect.
“125,000, Russians on the border near Kharkov”
Russia needed 80,000, soldiers to get an Awdijiwka in February 2024, a small town in the Donetsk region, after an exhausting siege. “The Washington Post” reports now 125,000 are stationed on the border of the Sumski and Kharkiv registers. Russian soldierswhich, according to Ukrainian intelligence, is far too small to get the capitals of both circuits.
According to Andriy Czerniak, an official of the Ukrainian military intelligence, it is more likely that these soldiers will be used for the occupation of some of the Ukrainian areas along the border.
Not having enough people and materials to conduct their own offensive, Ukraine will continue the defensive strategy, which it has been implemented since 2024 – Keeping the front line and making acquiring any territory to the Russian troops as expensive as possible.
The key to the implementation of this strategy will be further supply of foreign weapons. Europe is trying to increase its participation. On Monday, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced that all restrictions on the use of long -range weapons by Ukraine were lifted.
