Pevour noted that in the case of a truce with Ukraine, 800 thousand Russian military will not go home, the illegitimate President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin will issue new orders, and the threat to Western countries will grow.
Bild writes that Western intelligence is afraid of the transfer of Russian troops from Ukraine to the borders of Finland, Norway, Baltic countries and Belarus, “almost to the border” with Poland.
The interlocutors of the publication said that in recent months, Russia has prepared the appropriate infrastructure for such actions, and only war in Ukraine interferes with implementing plans for the transfer of troops in Moscow.
Bild sources do not exclude that from the territory of Belarus, during joint exercises with the Belarusian army, to attack Lithuania or Poland. The publication recalled that in 2021 the Russian Federation used military maneuvers in Belarus as a pretext for deploying its troops near borders with Ukraine, and then attacked Ukraine.
One of the interlocutors of journalists explained that while there is a war in Ukraine and the Russian forces are occupied by it, the “West 2025” “will remain only maneuvers.”
Talking about the possible results of negotiations about the world, another source of Bild believes that if it is in favor of Moscow (for example, the Russian Federation leaves the “annexed” territories of Ukraine), then “Russia will perceive weakness as an opportunity for new conquests,” and Putin can choose a “larger goal”.
The publication recalls that “after [войны против] Georgia was Crimea, then Donbass, then Ukraine. “
Bild writes that “Putin will become more dangerous when the war in Ukraine ends.”
Context
On January 14, 2024, Bild, citing a secret document, informed that NATO was preparing for the likely attack of Russia on the eastern flank. In the document “only for the official use of” the Ministry of Defense of Germany, it describes in detail the likely “path to the conflict” between the Russian Federation and NATO, the culmination of which will be the placement of hundreds of thousands of alliance soldiers and the inevitable beginning of the war in the summer of 2025.
In NATO, commenting on the publication of Bild, they said that the document It is a training scenario, which “is always an imaginary situation to check the military potential in a particular field.”
January 18, NATO reported that Ready for the probable attack of Russia.
On February 16, Financial Times reported with reference to an anonymous Ukrainian official, which is illegitimate Russian President Vladimir Putin preparing for war against the Baltic countries.
The representative of the Main Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Vadim Skibitsky said in an interview with The Economist on May 2 that if the Russian Federation decides to unleash the war, “The Russians will take the Baltic countries in seven days.” At the same time, the NATO reaction period is 10 days, he claims.
On February 11, 2025, Denmark's intelligence informed that in about five years, Russia will be ready for a full -scale war in Europe, if the NATO countries are not re -equipment, DR wrote. They warned that the military threat from the Russian Federation would grow in the coming years. On the same day, the General Director of the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Department Kaupo Rozin said that Putin wants to use a change in the international situation in order to “catch his breath” and continue aggression against other countries, ERR said.
On March 30, Financial Times wrote that the Baltic Defense Ministers warned that the ceasefire in Ukraine would sharply increase the threat of security Their region, since Russia will continue the implementation of plans for the re-equipment and relocation of troops to the North-East Flank of NATO.
