Ambiguous data from the USA, inflation falling from the plateau, and euro will not be cheaper

The turn of April and May, apart from the opportunity to relax, brought a series of important data from the economy. From the national yard, the most important information was the so -called Quick inflation reading for April, which continues the inheritance series. Over the ocean, we got to know data on the American labor market and US GDP reading for the first quarter. We invite you to summarize the week!

As expected by economists, April brought a noticeable decrease in CPI inflation, ending the period of its stabilization near 5%. The decisive role was played by the expiry of the low base effect after last year's raising VAT to food.

The April data from the American labor market seemed to seem better than the expectations of economists. But solid searches down for February and March and low wage dynamics suppressed optimism. The release of workforce from the federal sector is still very reluctant.

The American economy shrinks under the leadership of Donald Trump – according to the latest macroeconomic data. In the first quarter, the annualized Reading of GDP dynamics was negative, which in the last decade only 3 times, and the measure of inflation preferred by the Fed was significantly increased.

The April reading PMI confirmed that the Polish manufacturing sector was in the recovery phase. However, the improvement of the economic situation occurred very slowly and was barely noticeable.

The April edition of currency forecasts assumes that in the foreseeable future of the euro will no longer be cheaper than today. The market analysts have changed their views in relation to the dollar, which is to cost less than PLN 4 permanently.

The first quarter of 2025 brought acceleration of economic growth in the euro area – according to the rapid respect of Eurostat. France and Germany – that is, two largest euro economies – managed to avoid the so -called technical recession.

The end of April brought further price reductions at distributors. Thanks to this, before this year's picnic we will be able to refuel the cheapest in four years. At the same time, “cheaper” still does not mean “cheap”.

A lot has already been written about demographic collapse in Poland. Unfortunately, the last GUS data only confirms negative changes in Poland. The population of Poland at the end of the first quarter of 2025 fell by 158 thousand. rdr. More vividly – it's as much as all of Zabrze disappeared from the map.

The first quarter of 2025 brought dynamic increases on the gold market, and mainly central banks, including the largest buyer, which was the NBP and ETF funds, stood behind record demand – according to the latest data of the World Gold Council. As it turns out, the total demand from the mentioned participants of the gold market was the largest in nearly 5 years.

Until now, it worked almost every time and after its speech, the American S&P index gained an average of 23.4% in 12 months. Technical indicator Zweig Breadth Thrust (ZBT), because we are talking about it, lit up last week, causing a stir on Wall Street.

The latest data on loan scams leave no doubt – the scale of the threat is increasing. In the first quarter of 2025, statistically every 35 minutes was attempted to extort a loan. It's up to 41 times a day – the Polish Bank Association is given.

Eighth grade and high school final exams. After them, a large group of future high school students and students will face an equally important question – where to live after moving to another city? At Bankier.pl, we check how much you have to pay for a place in a room in a state, in a boarding school or renting an apartment with roommates.

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