The old conflict has reinatcient – and It can plunge the world in chaos. After the terrorists fired tourists in the disputed region of Kashmir, killing 26 people, the government of India reacted with sharp activities: he closed the border crossing with Pakistan, suspended an important water treaty with the neighboring country, closed the airspace and issued Pakistani.
The attack took place on Tuesday in the popular resort of Pahalgam (also known as “Mini Switzerland”) in the Kashmir Valley in Northern India. 25 Indians are among the killed. Particularly explosive: both countries that have been fighting for the border area for decades, They are nuclear powers. We explain the consequences of the new phase of the old conflict.
The conflict between the two nuclear powers has repercussions for the whole world. Requires additional diplomatic measures, which are lacking in the case of other conflicts. In the event of a war, supply chains would also be threatenedbecause both countries are suppliers for the IT and textile industry. Depending on the scale of the conflict, large -scale refugees may move.
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It will only turn out how the greatest powers will react, such as China and the USA. China is an ally of Pakistan, while the US is favored by India.
How bad would it be to cancel the water contract?
India for the first time suspended the treatise for water from Indus, which has been in force since 1960. The treaty negotiated by the World Bank is of great importance for both countries. Specifies the way water reserves manage for hundreds of millions of people.
EPA / SHAHZIB AKBER / PAP
Pakistani protest after the India suspended the water treaty. Karachi, April 24, 2025
Without this treaty India could cut off water supply for many Pakistanibut it would not be feasible in the short period. Consequences: lack of drinking water, no power for power plants, no irrigation for agriculture. In turn, Pakistan could consider the resignation from the supply of water as an excuse for war.
What are the consequences of closing the airspace?
Closing the airspace is a threat. It can also be Preparation for military activitiessuch as air attacks and troops.
EPA / FAROOQ KHAN / PAP
The demolished family home of Asifa Sheikh, suspected of participating in the attack. The village of Monghama in Kashmir administered by India, April 25, 2025.
For international air traffic, the blockade would mean detours. Passengers flying from Europe would suffer on this to Thailand, Malaysia and Australia.
Will the war break out in the region again?
The conflict in Kashmir remains unresolved since 1947 in 1947-1949, 1962, 1965, 1971 and 1999 wars were fought. Main players – USA, China, Russia and of course the UN – are very interested in stability in South Asia. They will work so that the conflict does not escalate again.
Will they succeed? – This is a decisive moment for the region. Two neighbors armed with nuclear weapons are opposite each other. Everything may go wrong– explained Michael Kugelman, an American journalist dealing with foreign policy and an expert for matters. South Asia, in an interview with the British newspaper “The Guardian”.
What are the causes of the conflict in Kashmir?
After the division of British India in 1947 The cashmere region was divided between the newly created countries – India and Pakistan. Since then, the conflict center was in particular the Indian part, whose population has been mostly confessing Islam. Muslim separatists have been fighting for years to join Pakistan. Not so long ago, however, it seemed that the situation calmed down there – and with calmness tourists returned to the region.
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