Donald Trump's support further down. Huge uncertainty in the USA
According to Gallup data from May 2024, as much as 62 percent Americans have some form of exposure to stock exchange shares. Long -term they gave a stable rate of return and were a safe investment for the future. For this reason, most private pensions are based on stock market investments, mainly on the American market. That is why Americans are so sensitive to drops in courses.
The most important index in the United States is S&P 500. It includes 500 largest American listed companies. It is considered the main mood indicator on Wall Street.
In the first 100 days of the rule of previous presidents, the index ratings stable, so it was during the first term of Trump. This time it's different. The last decisions of the White House caused panic, unseen since recent crises, such as Pandemia or the great depression of the 1930s. Dreamers on the stock exchanges are not only to overtake the catastrophic consequences of the trade war for the American and world economy, but today they significantly affect the mood of voters.
The March reading of consumer moods of the Michigan University, and therefore before the introduction of customs duties, showed that the negative opinions of Americans about the government's economic policy achieved the highest level in the history of measurements.
Falling quotations
The number of opponents of Donald Trump is growing every week. In the medium survey, the number of supporters is already lower by over 5 percentage points. from the number of supporters of the current president. These are big and quick changes – at the beginning of March Donald Trump could still enjoy the advantage of supporters over opponents.
The assessment in individual areas of his actions also looks no better for Donald Trump. The only one in which he does not lose support is immigration policy. The biggest negative changes in Trump's assessment can be seen in the area of economy and inflation, and they were the one who took him to power. Americans often vote for a wallet, and deteriorating sentiment in this area can find an outlet at the polls.
Mobilization of Democrats
Despite the fact that there are 3.5 years to the next presidential election in the United States, and 18 months to the Congress elections, there are still minor local or complementary elections. Recently, there has been a lot of elections to the Supreme Court in Wisconsin. There they are party elections – both Republicans and Democrats have their candidate. The election result was to decide who would have a majority. This, in turn, would have a great impact on the abortion law in the state and the so -called Gerrymandering – electoral maps drawn by Republicans in a state were extremely dishonest, and the only way for democrats to stop was the takeover of the Supreme Court.
This race caught the enormous attention of the whole country, both sides invested giant funds. Elon Musk spent over $ 20 million for the promotion of a conservative candidate. However, it was of no avail. The Democrats candidate won with an advantage of 10 percentage points. In a state that just six months ago he voted for Donald Trump. The turnout was also record -breaking elections outside the main cycle for April – 7 out of 10 voters who voted in the presidential election also voted in elections to the Supreme Court. This is a turnout higher than the one that we usually meet in the elections to the Congress in the middle of the president's term. Democrats voters clearly showed that they are mobilized as never before.
