Karol Nawrocki's election promises only for the richest

The tax program supported by PiS Karol Nawrocki is clearly addressed to the richest people. The poorest will not feel changes in their portfolios – according to the analysis of the Cenea Economic Analysis Center published on Monday.

Researchers from the Cenea Economic Analysis Center looked at the tax program of Karol Nawrocki. They took into account such proposals of the President's candidate supported by PiS as:

• Raising the second tax threshold to 140,000 zloty,
• PIT 0 percent for families who have a minimum of two children (for a specific limit)
• Benefits of pro -family reliefs for entrepreneurs.

They came to the conclusion that these promises are part of the campaign pattern of Andrzej Duda from 2015, and at the same time are clearly addressed to the richest people.

“The average benefits of farms belonging to the richest 10 % of the population are about PLN 580 per month, while the poorest 10 % would not feel these changes in their portfolios,” said the authors of the analysis.

The difference is more noticeable when we talk about families with children. Those that were qualified to the group of richest farms would gain an average of PLN 1080 per month. However, belonging to the group of the poorest farms – only six zlotys per month.

The amount that the government would have to spend on supporting families in the form proposed by Nawrocki is PLN 15.9 billion a year. According to Cenaa experts, these funds would allow for three times increasing the amount of relief for children in the Polish tax system, which – as researchers emphasized – families with the lowest income would bring more benefits – PLN 150 per month. For comparison, the richest families would then gain PLN 285 per month.

Seniors were omitted in Nawrocki's tax proposals. For this social group, the presidential candidate – as Karol Nawrocki wrote on his website – manages the promise of valorisation of pensions (by at least PLN 150; always above the inflation indicator).

“Ultimately, it should be remembered that the tax policy is responsible for the government and parliament, which must accept any proposals of statutory changes by the president. The successes related to the proposals of the future president in the area of ​​socio -economic policy will therefore depend on his cooperation with the most parliamentary” – the authors added in the summary of the analysis.

The presented analyzes are part of the microstimulat research program of the CeNEA I and were financed by the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (SIDA) as part of cooperation with the Stockholm Institute of Transition Economics (Site).

The data used in the analyzes come from the study of household budgets 2023 and were made available by the Central Statistical Office. The conclusions flowing from them are based on the calculations carried out by the authors using the SimPL model.

Katarzyna Czarnecka (PAP)

KSC/ MHR/