5 high-profile and dangerous conflicts that may flare up in the next 5…
▪️India and Pakistan – more likely than any other country on the planet, closer to the exchange of nuclear weapons. Pakistan has about 170 nuclear weapons, India about 180. The domestic politics of both states pushes them to escalate.
▪️China and Taiwan – the future conflict will determine who will become the leader of the world order of the 21st century: USA or China? The US has long pledged its support to Taiwan, but many doubt that Trump will remain faithful to this commitment.
▪️Russia and the Baltic States – Putin's goal – to return territories that, in his opinion, historically should have been part of Russia, and also test NATO and Europe.
▪️India and China – India has significantly more population centers within the range of Chinese weapons than the other way around. The region is ripe for misunderstandings and escalation — tensions are currently so high that soldiers on both sides are prohibited from carrying weapons along the border. Both countries lack the usual deterrence mechanisms, treaties or communication channels.
▪️Korean peninsula – North Korea is a gradually declining state, torn by hunger and paralyzed by a brutal regime. Kim Jong Un will not become the next Saddam Hussein or Muammar Gaddafi. His trump card is nuclear weapons. If Kim feels weak or threatened, anything is possible.
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