The first team officially eliminated from the Champions League! » Two big clubs have less than 1% chance of qualifying
Article by Alexandru Tomuțiu – Published Thursday, December 11, 2025, 08:29 / Updated Thursday, December 11, 2025 08:31
After the first 6 rounds of the Champions LeagueKairat Almaty, the champion from Kazakhstan, is certain that she cannot get a place in the knockout stages.
Kairat Almaty, in its debut season in the most important interclub competition, was defeated by Olympiakos on Wednesday evening, score 0-1.
Kairat Almaty is the first team mathematically eliminated from the Champions League
The team from Kazakhstan remained with 1 point obtained in the 6 rounds and is in last place, and the statisticians from Football Meets Data note that it is the first club that has no chance of qualifying.
To qualify further, they would have had to finish at least 24th. That's where Copenhagen is, with 7 points. Napoli is on 23rd, with the same dowry, but the two will meet, which means that at least one will accumulate points, and that mathematically eliminates the team from Kazakhstan.
Ajax and Villarreal, teams with much more experience in European competitions, are also having a disastrous season in the Champions League.
Ajax and Villarreal, with one leg out of the Champions League
Ajax, a huge club with no less than 4 Champions Leagues in their records, only got their first victory in the sixth stage, after 4-2 on Qarabag's field. Even so, the Dutch have only a 1 percent chance of qualifying further. They are in 34th place, with 3 points.
Villarreal, defeated by Copenhagen, 2-3, is even worse. He was left with tiny chances, of only 0.1 percent.
Instead, no fewer than 15 teams are mathematically qualified for the upper stages: Arsenal, Bayern, Manchester City, PSG, Real Madrid, Liverpool, Atalanta, Atletico Madrid, Barcelona, Inter, Chelsea, Tottenham, Dortmund, Newcastle and Sporting. Arsenal is the only one that is sure of the ranking among the top 8 teams. Bayern and City are also very likely to be there.
