Top manager VTB Dmitry Pyanov predicted the development of the Russian economy / Economics of the Krasnoyarsk and Krasnoyarsk Territory / Newslab.ru
June 18 16:41
In an interview with RIA Novosti on the PMEF-2025, First Deputy President-Chairman of the Board of VTB Dmitry Pyanov shared updated forecasts for key economic indicators and mortgage market.
According to Pyanov, VTB recently reviewed its currency forecasts: if it was previously expected that the dollar will cost 100 rubles by the end of the year, now the bank will predict a stronger ruble in the coming months, but in the fall it will expect it to weaken up to 90 rubles per dollar by the end of 2025.
VTB evaluates the growth rate of the Russian economy in 2025 at 1.7 %, and in 2026-1.6 %. These estimates are closer to the forecast of the Bank of Russia (1-2 % in 2025), while the government expects more optimistic growth – 2.5 %. In 2026, the Bank of Russia predicts GDP growth by 0.5–1.5 %, the Ministry of Economic Development – 2.4 %.
Dmitry Pyanov noted that a significant revival of demand for a market mortgage without state subsidies is possible only with a decrease in a key rate to a level of 12-15 %.
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