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Acting! What chances does Italy have to win the group, after the failure with Norway + Haaland is close to a premiere

Article by Adrian Duţă – published on Saturday, June 07, 2025, 08:11 / Updated on Saturday, 07 June 2025 08:29

After Norway won with Italy, score 3-0in stage 3 of Group I of the World Championship preliminaries, the chances of Squadra Azzurra to qualify directly at the CM have decreased considerably.

For Italy It was only the first match in the preliminaries, in March being occupied with the League of Nations. However, the chances of overcoming Norway are small. The Nordics reached 9 points in 3 matches and have a 12-2 goal after the Oslo demonstration.

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Italy, 23% chance of winning the group. Haaland, near the first final tournament

Italywhich missed the presence at the last two world championships, has only 23% chance of winning the group and going directly to the final tournament that will take place next summer in the US, Mexico and Canada.

Instead, Norway It is seen with 77% chance of winning the group, according to the Football Meets Data simulations. In the event of a Scandinavian qualification, for Erling Haaland It would be the first presence at a final tournament, whether we are talking about the World or European Championship.

Israel, Estonia and Moldova, the other 3 teams in Group I, are non -existent in terms of calculations in the first two places.

Acting! What chances does Italy have to win the group, after the failure with Norway + Haaland is close to a premiere

Football Meets simulations given after Norway – Italy 3-0

At the World Championship, the winners of the preliminary groups are directly qualified, while the teams that finish on the 2nd place go to the dam.

An unacceptable defeat. We are Italy, we cannot play in such a way. I can't explain what happened. Our fans do not deserve such benefits. We need to look good at us and try to get out of this hole. We must find the power in ourselves, first of all.

– Gianluigi Donnarumma, porter of Italy

40 goalsHaaland has at the Nation of Norway in 41 matches. Scored on Friday, in the gate of Italy

Ashley Davis

I’m Ashley Davis as an editor, I’m committed to upholding the highest standards of integrity and accuracy in every piece we publish. My work is driven by curiosity, a passion for truth, and a belief that journalism plays a crucial role in shaping public discourse. I strive to tell stories that not only inform but also inspire action and conversation.

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