Presidential elections 2025: Sociological study on Romanians' preferences. Extremely small difference between the first two candidates
A sociological research conducted by Ara Public Opinion shows the preferences of Romanians in the first round of the presidential elections. The research outlines the profile of the Romanian voter and the key themes that influenced the vote. The first date shows that 42% of the respondents said they voted for a man and only 10% a woman. Other interesting aspects have been revealed in this survey.
The difference between 1st and 2nd place is extremely small at this time. Photo: Mediafax
Antena 3 CNN presented the data of the sociological research carried out by ARA Public Opinion.
What did you vote, woman or man?
According to the survey, ask if they voted for a woman or a man, 42% of the respondents said they voted for a man, only 10% a woman, and 48% preferred not to answer.
Have you voted for pro-European Romania or sovereign Romania?
When it comes to the vision of the future of the country, 53% of those questioned support a pro-European Romania, while 18% opted for a sovereign Romania. Another 3% said I did not understand what this choice entails, and 26% did not want to provide an answer.
When did you decide with whom do you vote?
The study analyzed and the moment when the voters decided on who they will vote. Thus, 28% of Romanians did not want or did not know how to answer, 26% decided during the election campaign, 18% even in the voting cabin, another 18% formed their option before the election campaign, and 10% chose an candidate immediately after finding the final list.
Which of the commitments and qualities of the candidate with whom you voted has most for the voting decision?
Ask what mattered most in the voting decision, the Romanians mentioned: 22% – fight against corruption, 21% – change of the political class, 19% – the negotiation capacity externally, 16% – increasing the income of employees and pensioners.
Other lower percentages have been attributed to maintaining the unique quota, opposition to extremism or 5% “Tour 2 back”.
Who is guilty for the current state of Romania?
27% political class, 25% social media manipulation, 3% Vladimir Putin, 3% Secret Services, 0% Army, 1% Church, 31% I do not know, 2% do not answer, 8% someone else.
Believe that the cancellation of the presidential elections of 2024 was …
Ask about the decision of the RCC from last year, to cancel the elections, many respondents preferred not to answer: 65% do not know/ do not answer, 18% a correct measure, and 17% consider it an incorrect measure.
The first data, general picture of results
According to Antena 3 CNN, the difference between the candidates located on the 1st and 2nd place is extremely small at this time, which makes the final result difficult to anticipate.
Professor Remus Pricopie from SNSPA warned that the figures in the first part of the day can only provide a general picture of the situation: “The first digits give us some information, but they are not relevant for what will happen during the day, because we have voters with a different electoral behavior, depending on the age groups, the environment in which they live.”
As for the votes in the diaspora, Pricopie stressed that: “I believe that in the end we will be at the level of voting participants from last year. Let us not forget that it is a program change compared to last year. The second aspect related to the Diaspora-the diaspora is not in these exit polls, so sociologists and political analysts make estimates.”
The first results of the study were broadcast at 12:00 by Antena 3 CNN, and the data will be updated throughout the day.
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