Kremlin Signals Possible Mobilization
Dmitry Peskov, spokesperson for the Kremlin, stated, “Recognizing that the regions currently held by Russia are de facto Russian regions will end the war the next day.” This remark indicates a notable shift in rhetoric regarding the ongoing conflict.
Andriy Kovalенко, head of the Center for Counteracting Disinformation under the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, highlighted on July 11 that Peskov’s increasing use of the term “war” instead of the previously used “special military operation” suggests a conscious effort to prepare the Russian public for potential mobilization this fall. This shift may also be linked to impending restrictions, including a potential travel ban for Russian citizens.
Kovalенко advised Russians to consider leaving the country soon, citing that a Russian soldier can survive only 15 to 30 minutes on the front lines.
Context
- On May 18, Deputy Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, Brigadier General Pavlo Palisa, stated that Putin might consider a mobilization announcement following the State Duma elections scheduled for the fall.
- On May 25, The Moscow Times reported an increase in mobilization efforts for reservists in Russia.
- On May 27, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky noted that Russia was preparing for additional mobilization, involving at least tens of thousands more personnel.
- On June 1, Andriy Yusov, a representative of the Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine’s Ministry of Defense, indicated that it was becoming increasingly difficult for Russian military leadership to recruit new soldiers. According to “Verstka,” the influx of new recruits in Moscow fell by one-third in spring 2026 compared to the same period in 2025.
- On July 10, the Russian publication “Mozhem Ob’yasnit” reported that the Kremlin was discussing tightening controls on citizens leaving the country, with the Foreign Ministry already preparing documents for possible exit visas.
