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UPDATE Statistics have restored the calculations »What chances now have FCSB and Craiova University for qualifying in the Play-off of Europe, respectively Conference League

GSP article – Published on Friday, October 3, 2025, 13:49 / Updated on Friday, October 3, 2025:56

The two identical defeats as a result (0-2) suffered on Thursday by Fcsbhome with Young Boys in the Europa League, respectively of University Craiova, away with Rakow In Conference League, they have not only negative consequences in the countries of UEFA coefficients, in which I again made the rock (down now) with Croatia.

Following the European results registered this week, the Romanian championship was detached from Croatia in the UEFA coefficient ranking, returning from 22nd to 21.

As it was logical, the champion and leader from Superliga, who will face the championship derby on the National Arena on Sunday, went down in the ranking of the chance to take place in the first 24 groups, equivalent to an access to the play-off of competitions.

FCSB, from +25% to -14%. Picage on 29, outside the play-off

The biggest negative jump at the FCSB record. As much as it advanced thanks to the success in Deventer, 1-0 against Go Ahead Eagles (25%), from 28%to 53%, almost so seriously fell after the defeat in Bucharest with Young Boys Bern (0-2).

The statisticians restored the calculations »What chances now have FCSB and Craiova University for qualifying in the Play-off in Europe, respectively Conference League

FCSB – Young Boys / Photo: Cristi Preda (GSP)

Specifically 13.92%, with which it reached 39% chance to finish the group in the first 24 teams, according to Football Meets Data.

21.04percent have dropped Celtic's chances of catching the pay-off, the biggest negative jump after the second round of the Europa League. Rangers is -16.85%, Maccabi Tel Aviv -15.79%, Utrecht -14.69%, Feyenoord (FCSB's future opponent) -14.57%, Malmo -14.5%and PAO -11.38%

If after the first stage FCSB had climbed from the 35th place with 11 positions above, now the elevator takes it down, until 29, outside the play-off area (it has a 2% chance to go directly to the finals).

Paradoxically, although it ticked the first three points, Young Boys' chances dropped by 8% (from 39 to 31), but went up from 31 to 30, fixed in the Romanian champion's neck!

At the opposite pole, of the future opponents that the red-blue will meet, Dinamo Zagreb climbed considerably by 21.73% and reached almost 93% (13th place), with maximum score currently accumulated.

The statisticians restored the calculations »What chances now have FCSB and Craiova University for qualifying in the Play-off in Europe, respectively Conference League

This shows the chances of qualifying the 36 teams in the Europa League / Photo: X Football Meets Data

The chances of FC Basel (15.94%) follow, the Swiss being 51% (26th place), over Elias Charambous, which he will receive on St. Jakob-Park. And Fenerbahce has increased its chances by 10 percent, to 85% (from the 16th to the 14th position).

15Percentage has decreased Feyenoord in the top chances of qualifying in the Europa League play-off, from 85% to 70% (from 13th to 20). Bologna gave a little back to 92% (11-12 places), under the direct access area in “optimals”. Also 3 percent were reduced the Belgrade Red Stelri (from 60 to 57, minus two positions, until 24)

Craiova University drops 5 places: -12% chances of play -off!

And the representative of Romania in Conference League came out of the play-off area. If before the start of the group it was credited by the statisticians from Football Meets given with 64% chances (21st place), the Oltenians regulated by 12%, reaching 26 (they have 3% direct qualification in “optimi”).

If Rakow rose 5% (to 96, from the 10th place to 9th, close to access to “optimals”, what happens to the future 5 opponents of Mirel Rădoi's team? Noah climbed with 24% and eight seats (it has 62% and E on 21), Mainz progressed from 7th to 4 (from 97% to 99.6%).

The statisticians restored the calculations »What chances now have FCSB and Craiova University for qualifying in the Play-off in Europe, respectively Conference League

This is how the chances of qualifying the 36 teams in Conference League / Photo: X Football Meets Data shows

AEK Athens has +14 and 4 positions above (15th place, with 88% chance at the top 24) and Sparta Prague advanced a place and 4 percent (98%, on the 7th position).

The only one who dropped is Rapid Vienna, reached the 27th place, exactly behind Craiova University: the Austrians regressed 27 by 53%, from 61% and 23rd place before the start of the Conference League group.

22At the percentages is the biggest jump in the ranking of the chances of qualification in the Group of Conference League, registered by NOH. Samsunspor follows (20%. The opposite pole is quickly Vienna (-15%), Rieja (-14%) and Edward Iordănescu's Legia (-13%)

Ashley Davis

I’m Ashley Davis as an editor, I’m committed to upholding the highest standards of integrity and accuracy in every piece we publish. My work is driven by curiosity, a passion for truth, and a belief that journalism plays a crucial role in shaping public discourse. I strive to tell stories that not only inform but also inspire action and conversation.

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